GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Plaza Amador are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Firpo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Amador hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 11.8% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.5%

Model confidence

11.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza AmadorWLDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FirpoWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Plaza AmadorFirpo
66.7Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power23.7
1.81xG1.27
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