GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 4/11/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Playford City Patriots · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Playford City Patriots are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Playford City Patriots hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Playford City Patriots holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Playford City Patriots

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Playford City Patriots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Playford City PatriotsDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sturt LionsLWLWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Playford City PatriotsSturt Lions
63.6Attack53.0
53.0Defence45.5
53.0Form40.9
56.2Power46.5
2.36xG1.36
View match centre →