Platensevs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 7/25/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Platense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60