GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Platense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlatenseLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San LorenzoDWDDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PlatenseSan Lorenzo
23.3Attack25.4
61.7Defence69.8
33.3Form41.3
42.2Power48.1
0.45xG0.55
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