Platensevs
Inca Aruba
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Platense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Platense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Inca Aruba are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Platense hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 12.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Primera Division, while Platense holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Platense
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Platense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.33/3.00