Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Platense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FAS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 67.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Primera Division, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.2%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00