GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Espana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Platense FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Espana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 68.7-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Liga Nacional, while Real Espana holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Espana

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Platense FCLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real EspanaDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Platense FCReal Espana
16.7Attack83.3
33.3Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
26.2Power94.8
0.98xG1.69
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