GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Marathon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Platense FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CD Marathon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Marathon hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga Nacional, while CD Marathon holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Marathon

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Platense FCLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CD MarathonWDDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Platense FCCD Marathon
16.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
26.2Power64.8
1.02xG1.36
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