Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PKKU are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while VJS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.3 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
11.9%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80