GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 8/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

PKKU are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Inter Turku II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PKKU

Probability

71.1%

Model confidence

8.6%

PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PKKUDDWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Inter Turku IIWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PKKUInter Turku II
61.1Attack55.6
51.9Defence18.5
50.0Form37.0
54.9Power38.2
3.42xG1.43
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