Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PKKU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC jazz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20