Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
PK-35 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
69.0%
Model confidence
20.8%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40