Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
PK-35 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while haka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.7 against 65.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60