GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sporting JAXLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSporting JAX
35.1Attack40.4
64.9Defence10.5
47.4Form14.0
51.2Power25.1
1.91xG0.72
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