Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Sacramento Republic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and sacramento Republic hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 23.0% confidence, a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
23.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00