GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rhode Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rhode IslandWDLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsRhode Island
35.1Attack52.9
64.9Defence62.7
47.4Form49.0
51.2Power55.0
0.83xG1.03
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