GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.2 against 52.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLWLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Louisville CityWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLouisville City
35.1Attack57.9
64.9Defence43.9
47.4Form49.1
51.2Power52.2
1.26xG1.12
View match centre →