GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDWDWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Indy ElevenWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsIndy Eleven
35.1Attack39.2
64.9Defence58.8
47.4Form43.1
51.2Power49.1
0.94xG0.75
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