GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsFC Tulsa
35.1Attack37.0
64.9Defence68.5
47.4Form53.7
51.2Power54.7
0.70xG0.72
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