GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Brooklyn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDWDWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
BrooklynLDWDL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsBrooklyn
35.1Attack33.3
64.9Defence37.3
47.4Form25.5
51.2Power34.0
1.49xG0.61
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