Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Piteå are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vasalund are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasalund hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Ettan - Norra, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
14.8%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60