Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Piteå are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rops are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
10.7%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20