Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Piteå are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while IFK Luleå are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Piteå hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40