Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidencePiteå are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Häcken are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and häcken hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 75.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Damallsvenskan, favouring a draw with 14.0% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.7%
Model confidence
14.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PiteåWLWLL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HäckenLWWWW
GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
PiteåHäcken
56.4Attack67.9
64.1Defence87.2
66.7Form75.6
63.0Power75.4
0.99xG1.40