Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pisa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pavia have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pisa hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Pisa holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pisa
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Pisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00