GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Pirin Razlog are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FK Minyor Pernik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Minyor Pernik hold a 76.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 11.8% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.0%

Model confidence

11.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pirin RazlogLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Minyor PernikWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pirin RazlogFK Minyor Pernik
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
13.2Power89.7
1.08xG1.86
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