GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 9/5/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gálatas EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pinheiros are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Gálatas EC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gálatas EC hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (13.5 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Capixaba B, while Gálatas EC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gálatas EC

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Gálatas EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PinheirosLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gálatas ECWDLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
PinheirosGálatas EC
20.0Attack42.9
6.7Defence38.1
0.0Form33.3
13.5Power41.2
1.40xG1.85
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