Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piešťany · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Piešťany are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tovarníky are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Piešťany hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Piešťany holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piešťany
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
8.9%
Piešťany has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.75/0.75