Piauívs
Fluminense PI
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Piauí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fluminense PI are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Piauí hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20