Piauívs
Ferroviario
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Piauí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ferroviario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00