Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Phoenix are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hell Hunt are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Phoenix hold a 39.3-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Cup, while Phoenix holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Phoenix
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
6.9%
Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33