Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Phoenix are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Elva III have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Phoenix hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Cup, while Phoenix holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Phoenix
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00