GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Phoenix Rising are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Antonio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phoenix RisingWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
San AntonioDDWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
42.1Attack45.6
54.4Defence63.2
38.6Form56.1
46.4Power57.5
0.96xG1.18
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