Phoenix Risingvs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Phoenix Rising are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orange County SC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40