Phoenix RisingvsNew Mexico United

Phoenix Rising are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New Mexico United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.