GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Las Vegas Lights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Phoenix Rising are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Las Vegas Lights hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Las Vegas Lights holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Las Vegas Lights

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Las Vegas Lights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phoenix RisingLWDWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Las Vegas LightsDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
55.6Attack50.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
22.9Power53.0
1.69xG2.07
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