GGOALVIO

Phoenix Rising logoPhoenix RisingvsHartford Athletic logoHartford Athletic

COMPLETED

USA · USL Championship · 7/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Phoenix Rising are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.4 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Phoenix RisingWLLLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hartford AthleticLWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Phoenix RisingHartford Athletic
42.1Attack24.1
54.4Defence68.5
38.6Form38.9
46.4Power45.8
0.85xG0.65
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