Philadelphia Unionvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Philadelphia Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Philadelphia Union holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Philadelphia Union
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
9.3%
Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40