GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Leagues Cup, while Philadelphia Union holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

10.8%

Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santos LagunaLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna
50.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence16.7
50.0Form0.0
56.2Power18.3
2.06xG1.05
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