GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose EarthquakesWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Philadelphia UnionSan Jose Earthquakes
46.3Attack66.7
38.9Defence52.6
29.6Form57.9
40.9Power58.9
1.34xG2.38
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