Philadelphia Unionvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Philadelphia Union are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00