GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionLLDLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Columbus CrewLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
46.3Attack48.1
38.9Defence48.1
29.6Form37.0
40.9Power46.3
1.53xG1.65
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