GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Philadelphia Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Philadelphia Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Philadelphia Union holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Philadelphia Union

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

11.7%

Philadelphia Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Philadelphia UnionWWLDL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlanta United FCLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
46.3Attack35.2
38.9Defence38.9
29.6Form22.2
40.9Power34.7
1.87xG1.17
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