Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrocub · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Petrocub are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Samgurali are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Petrocub hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Petrocub holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Petrocub
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80