GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterhead · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Peterhead are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the League Cup, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterhead

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

14.9%

Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterheadLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KilmarnockWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PeterheadKilmarnock
25.0Attack16.7
75.0Defence100.0
33.3Form66.7
45.9Power64.8
1.07xG1.03
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