Peterheadvs
Kilmarnock
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Peterhead are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the League Cup, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
14.9%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40