Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Peterhead are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while East Fife are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and East Fife hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the League One, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.6%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80