Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Peterhead are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Celtic II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterhead hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Peterhead holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterhead
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Peterhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80