Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Petare FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bolívar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40