Perugiavs
Vis Pesaro
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perugia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Perugia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vis Pesaro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.2 against 56.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Perugia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Perugia
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
14.1%
Perugia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20