Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Perth are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Balcatta are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Perth
Probability
78.5%
Model confidence
9.0%
Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40