Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidencePersija are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Arema FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Persija hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Piala Presiden, favouring a draw with 12.8% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PersijaLWDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Arema FCLWWLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PersijaArema FC
66.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence60.0
46.7Form40.0
55.4Power46.4
1.68xG1.04